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Oct 31, 2012
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if i'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a margin of error, dana. hold on. dana was around in '08, i'm sorry, back in '04 when the poll said that kerry was going to win in a landslide. didn't happen, did it? >> thank goodness. >> that's right, dana. just think for a second. romney has never been ahead. >> sean: he's ahead now. >> in the real clear politics. >> sean: juan, juan, juan. >> colorado, wisconsin. i can keep going. never, ever. >> sean: listen, you can be as delusional if you want. i absolutely like when you live in denial, but here's the reality, dana. romney has florida sewn up, in my opinion. >> oh, my god, come on. >> sean: in virginia the latest poll shows romney ah
if i'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a...
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Oct 27, 2012
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the obama campaign wanted to concentrate on three states where they got the lowest winning percentages in 2008 except for indiana and north carolina which they conceded, florida, ohio and virginia. since the october 3 debate, florida seems to be gone toward mitt romney. he has been winning almost all polls this. virginia has been even tending a little toward romney in my judgment. ohio has been a little stickier. are the auto bailout is an issue there. if you look at the polls what you will see is white noncollege voters. a group that was 58-40 for john mccain nationally four years ago are not giving romney in ohio that much of an edge. and so i think there is some gain that the democrats have gotten from that -- that huge barrage of antiromney ads they ran before the convention. i would say this, though, sean. i think there is some reason to beware arery of the ohio polls. we are seeing results there in the most recent weeks there varying in between a tie and a five point obama swing. but you we are also seeing in the polls almost all of them the 11 in which the real clear politics .c
the obama campaign wanted to concentrate on three states where they got the lowest winning percentages in 2008 except for indiana and north carolina which they conceded, florida, ohio and virginia. since the october 3 debate, florida seems to be gone toward mitt romney. he has been winning almost all polls this. virginia has been even tending a little toward romney in my judgment. ohio has been a little stickier. are the auto bailout is an issue there. if you look at the polls what you will see...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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but if you look at the a lot of the state polls, it looks like president obama is headed for a victory in the electoral college. it may be that the hurricane, the big storm is the october surprise that could swing the election either way. but president obama is tracking ahead of mitt romney in many of the important swing states and the big question is, does president obama stop campaigning because will he take a big political hit if he starts doing some of that? and mitt romney has to worry about going into any of the the other states that will make him look too political for campaigning in the middle of the storm. that's the big question na we're facing right now. but right now president obama is ahead in the state whereas mitt romney is ahead nationally. >> geraldo: erin, quickly, i've got 30 seconds, florida has romney over obama by 1 1/2, more or less. virginia has romney obama tied. ohio has obama over romney 48 funny 2 to 46.3, wisconsin has obama over romney by 2.3 percentage points so ladies and gentlemen, erin says that the governor is on track to win the popular vote, but as
but if you look at the a lot of the state polls, it looks like president obama is headed for a victory in the electoral college. it may be that the hurricane, the big storm is the october surprise that could swing the election either way. but president obama is tracking ahead of mitt romney in many of the important swing states and the big question is, does president obama stop campaigning because will he take a big political hit if he starts doing some of that? and mitt romney has to worry...
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Nov 1, 2012
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if we go to to the early states, romney wins florida and virginia president obama wins ohio, then can romney wins a state that obama won by 14 points. >> paul ryan is very popular in wisconsin. >> there three things. state changed between 2008 and 2010 that helped walker. then a huge battle over walker's plan. the recall effort forced republicans to build a great organization that has been turned over to the presidential campaign. polls are very close. paul ryan is added to the particular. nationally biggest thing he made people more enthusiastic about the ticket. in wisconsin, if the republicans pull it off, he may provide that little bit. >> sean: let's assume, we don't know what is going to happen in ohio. i would lean that ohio, i'm counting on ohio, but i think it will be close. if governor romney did win wisconsin and favored in colorado's colorado and you have new hampshire. >> new hampshire has a huge pool of independents. the independent voters swinging in romney's direction. >> a chance in iowa? >> he has a chance in iowa for the same reasons he does in wisconsin. pennsylvan
if we go to to the early states, romney wins florida and virginia president obama wins ohio, then can romney wins a state that obama won by 14 points. >> paul ryan is very popular in wisconsin. >> there three things. state changed between 2008 and 2010 that helped walker. then a huge battle over walker's plan. the recall effort forced republicans to build a great organization that has been turned over to the presidential campaign. polls are very close. paul ryan is added to the...
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Nov 3, 2012
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and remember, president obama won the state by 262,000 votes. he cleaned up in the the early vote. he won by over 300,000 votes in the early vote and then lost on election day to john mccain and the people who showed up at the polls. that is traditionally how it happens. democrats do well in early voting and republicans do well in the election day voting. for the president to have already wiped out by poor performance in the early voting and the republicans take election day bodes well for election day in ohio. i think it will be a squeaker but i think the republicans are likely to take it. this pattern has been here for over ten days. i have been monitoring this watching it closely. as the republican total does up you take that with the democrats who haven't shown up and the republicans who have shown up in excess of the number and this number has been growing. it was like 240,000 late last week, 250,000 early this week and now 263. >> sean: let's then go to florida. by all accounts democrats are even pulling out of there right now because they didn't do well in early voting. what
and remember, president obama won the state by 262,000 votes. he cleaned up in the the early vote. he won by over 300,000 votes in the early vote and then lost on election day to john mccain and the people who showed up at the polls. that is traditionally how it happens. democrats do well in early voting and republicans do well in the election day voting. for the president to have already wiped out by poor performance in the early voting and the republicans take election day bodes well for...
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Oct 29, 2012
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ambassador. >> the former obama state department spokesman pj crowley. >> i don't see a political awe beg agenda here. i see the fog report. the fact that we do not know is not about politics it's about the difficult tasks of reconstructing what happened and having full access to the site and to all of the people that played a role in this. >> september 18th. >> did the administration have any sort of heads up that violence was increasing specifically in lib yaup before the attack? >> i am not aware of any. this is a matter that is under investigation in terms of what precipitated the attacks. >> that night on "the late show" with david letterman president obama gives his most elaborate explanation of what he says happened in benghazi. was it a spontaneous rye iot or attack. >> a combination of the two he suggests. >> you have a video released by somebody who lives here a shadowy character. this caused great offense in much of the muslim world, but what also happened is extremists and terrorists used this as an excuse to attack a variety of our embassies including the conflict in liby
ambassador. >> the former obama state department spokesman pj crowley. >> i don't see a political awe beg agenda here. i see the fog report. the fact that we do not know is not about politics it's about the difficult tasks of reconstructing what happened and having full access to the site and to all of the people that played a role in this. >> september 18th. >> did the administration have any sort of heads up that violence was increasing specifically in lib yaup before...
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Oct 29, 2012
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three states. now that is going to have some impact. not good for obama. romney what to cancel appearances in ohio, which were important to him. he did go to iowa, which indicates how close iowa really is. we'll talk about that a little bit, him getting in the "des moines register" endorsement, which is important i think. the other thing romney decided to do is do fund raising in the effected states which make sense. in the end, the president of the united states is commander-in-chief. he gets to take center stage. it only helps him. >> kimberly: dana? >> dana: from a political standpoint, romney's e-mail that went out to -- i'm not on the list but a friend sent it to me saying don't donate to our campaign, if you have time and resources available send it to the red cross. check on your neighbors. from a media standpoint, this storm is rightly going to stake center stage. my sister is in colorado. if you're in colorado, swing state or any of the other swing states, the ads are unbearable in terms of the amount of negative ads. i think both of the campaigns
three states. now that is going to have some impact. not good for obama. romney what to cancel appearances in ohio, which were important to him. he did go to iowa, which indicates how close iowa really is. we'll talk about that a little bit, him getting in the "des moines register" endorsement, which is important i think. the other thing romney decided to do is do fund raising in the effected states which make sense. in the end, the president of the united states is...
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Nov 1, 2012
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the president is embarking on a marathon trip across several key battleground states started shaking hands with supporters in green bay and then to las vegas and then colorado and then stopping in columbus, ohio. governor romney, he is focusing on virginia which could be a toss up. john roberts is with us following the governor romney campaign and ed henry is covering the president's campaign, and the president will speak in an hour, is that right? >>reporter: that is right. he was in business earlier, flashing a new wardrobe wearing a bomber jacket from air force one and a new message, the aides say that while he has been negative on governor romney and days ahead,, he will be more talking about what he would do in a second term. take a listen. >> we made real progress the past four years. but wisconsin, we know our work is not done yet. as long as there is a single american who want as job and can't find one, our work isn't done. as long as there are families who are working hadder but fall behind, our work isn't done. as long as there is a child languishing in poverty, barred from
the president is embarking on a marathon trip across several key battleground states started shaking hands with supporters in green bay and then to las vegas and then colorado and then stopping in columbus, ohio. governor romney, he is focusing on virginia which could be a toss up. john roberts is with us following the governor romney campaign and ed henry is covering the president's campaign, and the president will speak in an hour, is that right? >>reporter: that is right. he was in...
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Nov 1, 2012
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remember, obama won the state by 262,000. if you needed any evidence of how energized the republican base is in states like ohio, take a look at this. >> steve: absolutely great point. plus you've got to wond what are will happen come tuesday in states like new jersey where a lot of the polling places will not be suitable for people to come into, how many different gymnasiums and stuff like that are being used as shelters. maybe it will wind up multi tasking with polling here and sleeping there. >> peter: hopefully you have progress by then. also big, big news, fox learned about a classified cable warning that the state department in august that the benghazi consulate could not be protected and could not withstand the coordinated attack. katherine herrage of fox news broke that story and she was on greta last night talking about whether, in fact, it's the smoking gun for a cover-up. >> the status of the cable said, i really believe having read it, that it is the smoking gun warning here. you've got this emergency meeting in b
remember, obama won the state by 262,000. if you needed any evidence of how energized the republican base is in states like ohio, take a look at this. >> steve: absolutely great point. plus you've got to wond what are will happen come tuesday in states like new jersey where a lot of the polling places will not be suitable for people to come into, how many different gymnasiums and stuff like that are being used as shelters. maybe it will wind up multi tasking with polling here and sleeping...
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Nov 3, 2012
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if this s a is swing state i feel good about it even if the polls about even and even if obama has a lead of one or two i suspect the undecided votes are going to go to mitt romney. i have a pretty good feeling about ohio. and if he wins ohio, i think he wins and maybe president obama could feel the same way about it. this is probably the key state. >> greta: why do you all leave, ohio, and spread out across the country? why don't you all just stay in ohio if that is so important, got to get every vote there. >> because you got to make sure you win the others too. you have to make sure you win, virginia, and win colorado and win wisconsin and you win florida. florida you can't take for granted. florida is just as critical. maybe more in ohio. we all feel i think. >> greta: it looks like we have some satellite trouble. we have lost the mayor. we -- the governor, of course, you see on the screen here. just to give you sort of a heads up what has been going on in ohio today. westchester, ohio and this is supposedly one of the biggest rallies that governor romney has had as they sort of
if this s a is swing state i feel good about it even if the polls about even and even if obama has a lead of one or two i suspect the undecided votes are going to go to mitt romney. i have a pretty good feeling about ohio. and if he wins ohio, i think he wins and maybe president obama could feel the same way about it. this is probably the key state. >> greta: why do you all leave, ohio, and spread out across the country? why don't you all just stay in ohio if that is so important, got to...
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Nov 4, 2012
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it's down the wire for president barack obama and mitt romney. with only three days left before the presidential election, both candidates are blitzing the crucial swing states. eight events in six states now. >> governor romney is a very talented salesman, so in this campaign he's trying as hard as he can to repackage the same old ideas that didn't work and offer them up as change. >> the question of this election comes down to this. do you want more of the same or do you want real change? >> and a quick reminder, set your clocks back one hour before you go to bed tonight. standard time kicks in at 2:00 a.m. so enjoy the extra hour of sleep. now back to "geraldo at large." >> explain what happened between early friday when the marathon was on and later friday when it was cancelled. >> what simply happened was that it became a source of dissense and we don't need that right now. and hopefully next year we'll have a great event where people can come to the city and enjoy what the city has to offer and compete and participate, and the spirit of the
it's down the wire for president barack obama and mitt romney. with only three days left before the presidential election, both candidates are blitzing the crucial swing states. eight events in six states now. >> governor romney is a very talented salesman, so in this campaign he's trying as hard as he can to repackage the same old ideas that didn't work and offer them up as change. >> the question of this election comes down to this. do you want more of the same or do you want real...
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Nov 2, 2012
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and iowa that shows president obama is doing better than mitt romney in those states and those are the states that going to decide the election. >> i think that's because and this is karl rove speaking now not me more democrats ordered voted early than republicans. bret baier will be anchor next tuesday. >> november 6th. >> bill: give you a jump on it for everybody. 19 million. romney ahead by 7% in new york. some of the key swing states the president in the lead. >> right. >> bill: former penn state president graham spanier. >> spanier. >> bill: he is a weasel, right? >> certainly seems so. >> bill: looks that way. he had indications that sandusky was molesting children on the campus of penn state. >> um-huh. >> bill: he did nothing. and now he is charged with? >> perjury, endangering will the welfare of children. conspiracy. failure to report child abuse. this guy spanier in position of power, obviously the president of the university. his story was some dust up with sandusky but i was never told that it was anything regarding a sexual nature. anything of a sexual nature with respect
and iowa that shows president obama is doing better than mitt romney in those states and those are the states that going to decide the election. >> i think that's because and this is karl rove speaking now not me more democrats ordered voted early than republicans. bret baier will be anchor next tuesday. >> november 6th. >> bill: give you a jump on it for everybody. 19 million. romney ahead by 7% in new york. some of the key swing states the president in the lead. >>...
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Nov 2, 2012
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by the way -- and then obama spends all day today in wisconsin, a state he would have thought would have been locked down by now. just their two schedules alone show you -- you know, how tight this is and that they are both trying to lock down states like florida and wisconsin that should have been in the bag for either one of them aircraft long time ago. i am not arguing arguing with y. look, this is going to be very, very close. anybody who thinks it's in the bag-- >>> i don't think it's in the bag. i am not going to say that. i want people, especially conserve testifies think they are a touchdown behind? and they have to fight hard in the closing days. but two emerging stories here. one is the libya/benghazigate, which has become a real problem. the president's been caught lying. it is not even a point of argument. the president goes in for a photo-op with chris christie and he's back on the campaign trail. he have gas stations shut down. we have looters breaking out. we have people dumpster diving. we have chaoses breaking out with the obama katrina emerging before our eyes -- he got
by the way -- and then obama spends all day today in wisconsin, a state he would have thought would have been locked down by now. just their two schedules alone show you -- you know, how tight this is and that they are both trying to lock down states like florida and wisconsin that should have been in the bag for either one of them aircraft long time ago. i am not arguing arguing with y. look, this is going to be very, very close. anybody who thinks it's in the bag-- >>> i don't think...
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Oct 28, 2012
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. >> how is mitt romney doing in the swing states? >> fabulous in the swing states. people are sending money all the way up until now. >> judge jeanine: you always go to the money thing. >> you have to follow the money and the fact that obama raised a billion dollars and mitt romney is right behind him. usually as a national fundraiser i know that i raised the bulk of my money the first of october. it is continuing on. it is heating up and a lot of the undecideds are just now starting to write a check. >> judge jeanine: is the latest poll shows that the president and mitt romney tied at 48%. in florida, romney is squeaking by, obama 50% to 48. pennsylvania the president has a 5% lead but in the national polls, governor romney edges ahead of the president 50% to 47%. so everybody says it is about ohio. is it? >> it is definitely about ohio. it is ohio. someone said the national polls are kind of like giving an average temperature for the country. >> judge jeanine: but they don't count? >> exactly. exactly. the national polls, it tells you where the nation is as a whol
. >> how is mitt romney doing in the swing states? >> fabulous in the swing states. people are sending money all the way up until now. >> judge jeanine: you always go to the money thing. >> you have to follow the money and the fact that obama raised a billion dollars and mitt romney is right behind him. usually as a national fundraiser i know that i raised the bulk of my money the first of october. it is continuing on. it is heating up and a lot of the undecideds are...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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in nevada, nbc has obama up by 3, 50% to 47%. in wisconsin, rasmussen now has that race tied at 49%. very good news for governor romney who has been running behind in the badger state. in new hampshire rasmussen has romney up by 2%. 50% to 48%. finally $2 billion will be spent on the presidential race this year. my question, are we getting our money's worth? next on the run down, herald will react to the shocking new libyan situation. that report moments away. sometimes life can be well, a little uncomfortable. but when it's hard or hurts to go to the bathroom, there's dulcolax stool softener. dulcolax stool softener doesn't make you go, it just makes it easier to go. dulcolax stool softener. make yourself comfortable. ♪ ♪ we're lucky, it's not every day you find a companion as loyal as a subaru. love. it's what makes a subaru, a subaru. this is our year. i thought it was last year... turns out i was wrong. none of us would walk in here and settle. that's how we are! i forgot what i was going to say. patrick, i want 100% comm
in nevada, nbc has obama up by 3, 50% to 47%. in wisconsin, rasmussen now has that race tied at 49%. very good news for governor romney who has been running behind in the badger state. in new hampshire rasmussen has romney up by 2%. 50% to 48%. finally $2 billion will be spent on the presidential race this year. my question, are we getting our money's worth? next on the run down, herald will react to the shocking new libyan situation. that report moments away. sometimes life can be well, a...
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Oct 31, 2012
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state where polls show a neck and neck race with president obama. john roberts is live this morning in coral garrelses. john, how do you think the storm influenced governor romney's campaigning and the message he is on right now? >> reporter: the influence was actually major yesterday when he set aside his campaign and did a storm relief event. today will be more subtle. he has a full list of campaign events in tampa. he comes to miami. goes to jacksonville later on in the day. here is where the change will be. the message will be about real recovery on day one with, his closing argument. very much focused on the positive. he will not be hitting the president to the same degree as he has in the past because the president still involved in the storm recovery. romney campaign turned what should have been a political event to relief event. governor outside of dayton, thanking them for thinking about fellow americans out there dealing with this terrible storm. >> we won't be able to solve all the problems with our effort this morning though a lot of peo
state where polls show a neck and neck race with president obama. john roberts is live this morning in coral garrelses. john, how do you think the storm influenced governor romney's campaigning and the message he is on right now? >> reporter: the influence was actually major yesterday when he set aside his campaign and did a storm relief event. today will be more subtle. he has a full list of campaign events in tampa. he comes to miami. goes to jacksonville later on in the day. here is...
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Nov 3, 2012
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then senator obama won fairfax county by 109,000 votes in 2008. it helped him carry the state. which means that the people you see walking behind me and the people in that building could be casting the deciding votes in the 2012 presidential election if it comes down to virginia, which it might. back to you. >> gretchen: all right. peter doocy live for us in virginia. thanks. >> steve: peter not only our poll watcher but our weather watcher too. rick reichmuth peter was talking about how cold it is down there. but we worry about how cold it is around here because some people don't have electricity. >> you said it you know before this storm when we said so many people would be without power that you will will likely be without power for the long term. this is what that means. this is what that feels like when we say that that you might be without power for 5, 6, 10, 14 days in some cases. and it's cold. take a look at what's going on right now. the next five days across parts of the jersey shore are going to be cold. and, in fact, you know, it's been cold the past couple days. t
then senator obama won fairfax county by 109,000 votes in 2008. it helped him carry the state. which means that the people you see walking behind me and the people in that building could be casting the deciding votes in the 2012 presidential election if it comes down to virginia, which it might. back to you. >> gretchen: all right. peter doocy live for us in virginia. thanks. >> steve: peter not only our poll watcher but our weather watcher too. rick reichmuth peter was talking...
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is currently president of the united states. incumbent. only five presidents in the past century lost reelection for a second term. let's take a look and see why they lost their elections and if the president should be worried. right now, joining us from d.c. is presidential historian, nick, good morning to you. >> good morning, steve. >> steve: let's go back to george herbert walker bush, president 41, he lost because? >> he got hit with a poor economy and it's unfortunate, if you look in the fourth quarter of 1992, actually we grew at 4%. if that election had been a few weeks later, he probably would have won. he was at 90% in the polls 18 months before that and then the recession hit, but we started coming out of it, he just was the product of bad fortune, i think, more than anything and clinton was a good candidate. >> steve: nick, i think you're avoiding the elephant in the room. what about ross perot, a texas businessman who came from nowhere, shot up in the polls and wind up with 19% of the-- >> 19%. >> steve: and eventua
is currently president of the united states. incumbent. only five presidents in the past century lost reelection for a second term. let's take a look and see why they lost their elections and if the president should be worried. right now, joining us from d.c. is presidential historian, nick, good morning to you. >> good morning, steve. >> steve: let's go back to george herbert walker bush, president 41, he lost because? >> he got hit with a poor economy and it's unfortunate,...